Northern Ireland's rival factions traveled Wednesday to
Scotland, where the British and Irish governments were hoping a
change of scenery and a day-and-night diplomatic effort might
inspire a breakthrough on power-sharing, an elusive dream of
peacemaking.
Both governments have spent the past three years pressing the
Democratic Unionists, the province's major British Protestant
party, to forge a coalition with Sinn Fein, the Irish Republican
Army-linked party that represents most of the Irish Catholic
minority. Such power-sharing was the central aim of the Good Friday
peace accord of 1998, but a four-party administration established
in the wake of that landmark pact collapsed in 2002 amid chronic
conflicts between Protestants and Sinn Fein.
The prime ministers of Britain and Ireland, Tony Blair and
Bertie Ahern, arrived Wednesday afternoon to begin a three-day
effort to reduce the gulf of mistrust and disputes that separates
Ian Paisley's Democratic Unionists and Gerry Adams' Sinn Fein.
The premiers, who have jointly led several similar efforts since
2003, insist this will be the last time they attempt to broker a
deal a threat backed by the reality that both Blair and Ahern could
be out of office within months. Blair has already said he is
stepping down by mid-2007, while the Republic of Ireland faces a
general election around the same time.
To focus minds now, they insist that the Northern Ireland
Assembly which wields the power to elect, or block, an
administration will be shut down if the Democratic Unionists do not
agree to work with Sinn Fein by a November 24 deadline. Those two
parties would receive most cabinet posts because they hold most
Assembly seats, while moderate Protestant and Catholic parties who
led the previous failed coalition would also participate.
"I think people in Northern Ireland are saying, 'Look, it's time
to decide one way or the other,"' Northern Ireland Secretary Peter
Hain said in an interview with Sky News Wednesday morning. "So we
need a 100 percent deal by November 24, not a 95 percent deal which
could unravel later.... or Stormont (the assembly) is shut down. I
hope that the politicians will be up for a deal."
Sinn Fein traveled to St. Andrews accentuating the positive,
arguing that the IRA's dramatic peace moves over the past year had
removed any credible Democratic Unionist excuse not to
co-operate.
"Is Ian Paisley up for doing a deal this week? I don't know,"
Adams told supporters on Tuesday night at a Belfast hotel that the
IRA repeatedly bombed in the 1970s and 1980s. "But I do know that
the question is no longer about whether the DUP (Democratic
Unionist Party) will do a deal. The question is about when the DUP
will do a deal."
The last coalition collapsed, in part, because the IRA refused
to disarm by mid-2000 as the Good Friday pact expected. Protestant
voters turned to the uncompromising Democratic Unionists, who
insisted they would not do business with Sinn Fein unless the IRA
disappeared first.
The past year has witnessed dramatic progress on that front. The
IRA, which killed 1,775 people from 1970 to a 1997 cease-fire, in
July 2005 declared a formal end to its campaign to overthrow
Northern Ireland by force.
Two months later it handed over its secretly stockpiled weapons
to disarmament officials and began a gradual program of
demobilizing and reorienting the underground organization.
International experts appointed by Britain and Ireland reported
last week that the IRA had disbanded its key units for promoting
its military capabilities: its departments for making and smuggling
weapons, and recruiting and training members.
(China Daily October 12, 2006)