Home / Business / News Tools: Save | Print | E-mail | Most Read | Comment
Economists say inflation not likely to occur in China this year
Adjust font size:

Senior Chinese economists have moved to quell fears that stimulus spending could cause a spike in inflation, warning instead of the risks of deflation.

Ou Minggang, director of the International Finance Research Center of China Foreign Affairs University, said Wednesday that the fears were predictable given the surge in credit.

Concerns over possible inflation have shadowed the growth in bank credit, which continued to expand in May, with new loans reaching 664.5 billion yuan (97.29 billion U.S. dollars), according to the People's Bank of China (PBOC), the central bank, on June 12.

Ou cited the second-quarter banker confidence index results, released by the central bank on June 12, to show some bankers worries over the surging loans and their confidence in economic growth this year.

About 49 percent of Chinese bankers thought the loans policy was a bit too "relaxed", an increase of 3.9 percentage points from the first quarter, while confidence in macro-economic growth prediction reached 39.1 percent, up 5 percentage points.

Ou's comments to Xinhua followed the prediction by Yao Jingyuan, chief economist with the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), that inflation would be curbed by overcapacity and unemployment.

"Deflation, instead of inflation, should be the major concern," Yao told an international risks management and insurance forum in Shenzhen Tuesday.

"There is no need to be too worried about inflation, as commodities prices will remain low for the whole year," said Yao.

Maintaining economic growth was the government's top priority, and stimulus measures can also be used to combat deflation, said Yao.

Overall China's economy remained good and would maintain steady growth despite the global economic downturn.

"China is in the middle stage of industrialization. Foreseeable factors, including industrial growth and increasing urbanization, will bolster China's economy to achieve growth," said Yao.

(Xinhua News Agency June 17, 2009)

Tools: Save | Print | E-mail | Most Read Bookmark and Share
Comment
Pet Name
Anonymous
China Archives
Related >>
- Weak US dollar, ample liquidity intensify inflation fears
- US debt 'should factor in inflation' to protect investors
- China's producer inflation to fall markedly in Dec.
June 7 Tokyo 2nd China-Japan High-Level Economic Dialogu

June 30 Shanghai 2009 Automotive Engine Technology Seminar

July 3-4 Beijing Global Think Tank Summit
- Output of Major Industrial Products
- Investment by Various Sectors
- Foreign Direct Investment by Country or Region
- National Price Index
- Value of Major Commodity Import
- Money Supply
- Exchange Rate and Foreign Exchange Reserve
- What does the China-Pakistan Free Trade Agreement cover?
- How to Set up a Foreign Capital Enterprise in China?
- How Does the VAT Works in China?
- How Much RMB or Foreign Currency Can Be Physically Carried Out of or Into China?
- What Is the Electrical Fitting in China?