The People's Bank of China, China's central bank, raised banks'
deposit reserve ratio Tuesday by 0.5 percentage points to rein in
excessive bank lending.
The hike brings the reserves that most banks are required to
deposit with the central bank to 8.5 percent. The central bank
raised the bank deposit reserve ratio by the same margin of 0.5
percentage points in June.
The central bank expects the two hikes - one percentage point in
total - will take 300 billion yuan out of circulation.
"The move aims to tighten up banks' liquidity management, curb
the excessive growth of money and credit and maintain the
development of the economy," said the central bank in a statement
posted on its website.
The move came as a surprise to many economists, who have been
calling on the central bank to raise interest rates to reduce the
money available for investment and prevent possible overheating of
the economy.
China's economy surged 10.9 percent in the first half of 2006,
the fastest growth in a decade and higher than the targeted annual
growth rate of eight percent set by the government for this
year.
The economy continues to roar ahead despite a slew of measures
imposed by the government to ease the blistering growth of
investment.
China's commercial banks lent 2.34 trillion yuan in the first
seven months of the year, consuming 94 percent of their annual loan
quota, according to statistics from the People's Bank of China.
New loans, which had dropped in June, picked up speed again in
July despite government efforts to curb the money supply and
tighten credit. In July alone banks lent 171.8 billion yuan.
Economists attributed the excessive growth to loose liquidity,
which contributes to an unbalanced economic structure and could
cause hiccups in the economy.
Ha Jiming, chief economist of China International Capital
Corporation Limited (CICC), expected the central bank to further
raise the deposit reserve ratio by the end of this year to cool
down the economy.
Some economists, however, suggest the central bank raise the
benchmark interest rate, which is a more stringent means of reining
in excessive loans. Tang Min, chief economist with the China
Mission of the Asian Development Bank (ADB), said he expects China
to raise its interest rates soon.
"The overheating of the economy has become more and more obvious
in the first six months of the year. The country needs to raise
interest rates to solve the problem," he said.
The government has vowed to slow down the surge in fixed assets
investment in sectors troubled by overcapacity and to control
excessive money and credit supply but it seems to be very cautious
about raising interest rates.
The last time the central bank adjusted interest rates was on
April 27, when it raised the benchmark one-year loan interest rate
from 5.58 percent to 5.85 percent, but did not change the rate for
deposits.
Analysts said a higher interest rate on deposits may help curb
excessive investment, but would also discourage consumption and
investment in stock markets, which the government has been working
hard to encourage so as to sustain economic development over the
long term.
(Xinhua News Agency August 15, 2006)