With the economic policy of positive non-interventionism
pronounced dead by the Hong Kong government, some prominent
economists and politicians are questioning whether it ever
existed.
They have put forward the argument that positive
non-interventionism was nothing but an ideological myth that owed
its prominence more to its numinous label than to its tangible
consequence. This, perhaps, should be an issue of greater concern
to economic theologians than to the business community and the
general public.
Known for their pragmatism, Hong Kong people have never shown
much interest in ideology. However, they understand well that the
bedrock of Hong Kong's prosperity consists of the rule of law, a
low and simple tax regime, an efficient and clean government
bureaucracy and strong support from the mainland. These elements,
working together, have created a predictable environment in which
private enterprises, both domestic and foreign, can thrive.
Despite the policy name change, there is no indication that the
Hong Kong government is going to tinker much with the economic and
social fundamentals that have been widely credited for Hong Kong's
growth from a trading outpost to an international financial
centre.
In the process, Hong Kong has contributed to, and benefited
from, the dramatic economic development on the mainland in general,
and in the Pearl River Delta (PRD) region in particular.
As the economy in the PRD region progresses into a new phase of
development, Hong Kong government planners and business leaders are
calling for a reassessment of Hong Kong's role.
The new Guangdong plan emphasizes the development of the
services sector and the development of the PRD's western region,
which is less well connected to Hong Kong. Moreover, the growth of
the PRD's services sector could pose stiff competition to many
traditional services that have been provided by Hong Kong.
What's more, the competitive edge Hong Kong enjoys over the PRD
cities in such areas as logistics and other trade services is also
seen to be eroding rapidly. To many economists and commentators,
the threat of marginalization seems real enough.
Hong Kong's government has apparently seen the need to take a
more active and direct role in setting the direction for the future
development of the economy, while keeping the underlying social and
economic system intact.
The government long ago identified financial services as a major
pillar of the Hong Kong economy and was seen to have intervened
directly in various occasions to ensure the property development of
the banking sector and the capital markets. The legislated merger
of the four stock exchanges in the 1970s was a case in point.
Acting to head off a potential banking crisis, the government
has, on a number of past occasions, employed public funds to bail
out failing financial institutions, despite warnings against the
possible perpetuation of moral hazard among banks.
In more recent years, the government has sought to strengthen
and widen the supervisory power of the Securities and Exchange
Commission and tighten the securities law to minimize abuse by
unscrupulous listed company executives and market
intermediaries.
Meanwhile, the Monetary Authority of Hong Kong, the de facto
central bank, is taking the initiative to discuss with its
counterpart on the mainland in exploring new business opportunities
that could enhance Hong Kong's role in the development of the
mainland's financial sector.
Adhering to its stated policy of remaining "small," the Hong
Kong government will never have too great an influence on the
economy. But past experience has shown that a little positive
intervention may not turn out to be such a bad thing, as long as
the fundamentals remain unfettered.
(China Daily October 10, 2006)