A leading Chinese economist on Friday urged the government to
invest more in social security for rural people in order to boost
domestic consumption.
Zuo Xiaolei, chief economist at China Galaxy Securities, the
country's biggest stockbrokerage, said the government should
convert the nation's savings into funding for healthcare, education
and social welfare in rural areas, rather than simply increasing
investment.
A World Bank report says China's savings among individuals,
companies and the government exceed those of every other nation
except India.
By the end of May, corporate deposits totaled 10.13 trillion
yuan (US$1.27 trillion), a rise of 15.7 percent over May last year,
while individual deposits were 15.4 trillion yuan, up 17.6
percent.
The government is seeking to encourage domestic consumption in
order to lessen the dependence on increasing investment and the
trade surplus for economic growth -- and China's 800 million
farmers are regarded as a huge potential market.
It has striven to curb investment and lending and cool economic
growth in the first half year, but the gross domestic product (GDP)
growth forecast is still 10.4 percent.
Zuo said if the government spent more on rural healthcare,
education and social welfare, farmers would be more confident about
spending.
Greater rural consumption would also help reduce individual
savings, she told the Xinhua-run China Securities
Journal.
Zuo's call echoed that of US economist Nicholas R. Lardy, of the
U.S. Institute for International Economics, during a visit to China
last month.
A reduction in both savings and investment would help balance
the trade surplus.
She suggested encouraging microfinance services to allow poor
rural households to obtain small loans or savings schemes.
Microfinance, especially for non-farming projects, would
increase rural incomes and stimulate consumption.
She said two private microfinance agencies had been formed in
Pingyao city, north China's Shanxi Province, offering small loans
to farmers for small and medium-sized business projects.
A similar agency had been established in southwest China's
Sichuan Province, said Zuo.
(Xinhua News Agency July 15, 2006)